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	<title>The DoubleThink &#187; retail</title>
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	<link>http://thedoublethink.com</link>
	<description>The Art &#38; Science of the New Marketing</description>
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		<title>Hans Rosling&#8217;s Moving Bubbles</title>
		<link>http://thedoublethink.com/2009/05/hans-roslings-moving-bubbles/</link>
		<comments>http://thedoublethink.com/2009/05/hans-roslings-moving-bubbles/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 May 2009 11:30:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dimitri</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analytics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Data Visualization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[data]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gapminder]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[millenium]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ngenera]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[retail]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rosling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tapscott]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[trendalyzer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[visualization]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://thedoublethink.com/?p=318</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Monday I posted a link to Hans Rosling’s video on the News/Death ratio.  Hans Rosling founded the Gapminder foundation in 2005.  According to the foundation&#8217;s website his mission was to “To promote sustainable global development and achievement of the United Nations Millennium Development Goals by increased use and understanding of statistics and other information about social, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';"><span style="font-size: small;">Monday I posted a link to Hans Rosling’s video on the <a href="http://thedoublethink.com/2009/05/newsdeath-ratio/" target="_blank">News/Death ratio</a>. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>Hans Rosling founded the <a href="http://www.gapminder.org" target="_blank">Gapminder</a> foundation in 2005.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>According to the foundation&#8217;s website</span><span style="font-size: small;"> his mission was to “<em style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal;">To promote sustainable global development and achievement of the United Nations Millennium Development Goals by increased use and understanding of statistics and other information about social, economic and environmental development at local, national and global levels”</em>.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>He developed a software package called Trendalyzer that helped bring these important statistics to life.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>Trendalyzer creates a scatter plot of bubbles that evolves over time.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>This simple intuitive application allows for the simultaneous display of 5 dimensions : 2 axes, the size of the bubbles, the color of the bubbles and the change over time.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>You can view many <a href="http://graphs.gapminder.org/world" target="_blank">examples</a> on the gapminder site.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';"><span style="font-size: small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';"><span style="font-size: small;">Hans Rosling did this famous presentation at the 2006 <a href="http://www.ted.com/" target="_blank">TED</a> conference where he presented some of the graphs with the excitement and energy of a broadcaster during the Kentucky Derby.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  <span style="font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';"><span style="font-size: small;">I think it is one of the best examples of how data can be brought to life through smart visualization.</span></span></span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';"><span style="font-size: small;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span></span></span></p>
<p><object width="425" height="344" data="http://www.youtube.com/v/hVimVzgtD6w&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always" /><param name="src" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/hVimVzgtD6w&amp;hl=en&amp;fs=1" /><param name="allowfullscreen" value="true" /></object></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';"><span style="font-size: small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';"><span style="font-size: small;">In March 2006 Google bought Trendalyzer.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>They made it available through their visualization API.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>Our analytics team has used it a number of times.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>Here is an example I used in a presentation at the <a href="http://www.ngenera.com/" target="_blank">nGenera</a> conference in Toronto yesterday.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>It demonstrates how we used it for a retailer to demonstrate the seasonality of different product categories during the Holiday season.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>Every bubble is a product category.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>The vertical axis shows the share of total revenue a category accounts for during a particular week.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>The horizontal axis shows a category’s revenue growth during that week compared the rest of the year.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>Categories move to the right during weeks they become very popular.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>They move up if they account for a higher proportion of the revenue during that week.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">   </span>The color of the bubbles shows the number of units sold during a week (this shows the difference between high and low ticket price categories).<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';"><span style="font-size: small;"> </span></span> </p>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';"><span style="font-size: small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin: 0in 0in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';"><span style="font-size: small;">You can see that the first couple of weeks most of the product categories only move slightly back and forth (the effect of weekday vs weekend).<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>Then when we approach Thanksgiving around the end of November the cloud of bubbles suddenly spreads out.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>The products that moved to the right all were related to the Thanksgiving festivities.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">  </span>This clearly demonstrated the need for carefully tailoring the communications around the products that were relevant during each particular week, particularly around major holidays (a similar trend was observed during the Christmas period).</span></span></p>
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		<item>
		<title>A Perfect Storm &#8211; ABM Presentation</title>
		<link>http://thedoublethink.com/2009/05/a-perfect-storm-abm-presentation/</link>
		<comments>http://thedoublethink.com/2009/05/a-perfect-storm-abm-presentation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 May 2009 00:11:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dimitri</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analytics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ABM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[accountability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[American Business Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[data]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[email]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[marketing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[marketing sherpa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[retail]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[roi]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://thedoublethink.com/?p=285</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[ 
 
  
This morning I presented at the annual American Business Media conference in Jacksonville Florida.  I spoke about the perfect storm in the marketing world today.  It’s caused by a combination of an accountability crisis that has been troubling marketing for years and a recession that has really put this crisis in the spotlight.  
 
I briefly [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;"><img class="size-full wp-image-286 alignnone" title="perfect-storm" src="http://thedoublethink.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/05/perfect-storm.jpg" alt="a perfect storm" width="322" height="297" /></span></span> </p>
<p> </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt">  </p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;">This morning I presented at the annual <a href="http://www.americanbusinessmedia.com" target="_blank">American Business Media</a> conference in Jacksonville Florida.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>I spoke about the perfect storm in the marketing world today.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>It’s caused by a combination of an accountability crisis that has been troubling marketing for years and a recession that has really put this crisis in the spotlight.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;">I briefly touched upon the topics I covered at the <a href="http://thedoublethink.com/2009/04/ana-accountability-presentation/" target="_blank">ANA</a> conference a couple of weeks ago and used <a href="http://thedoublethink.com/2009/04/marketing-accountability-in-1923/" target="_blank">Claude Hopkins</a>’ opening paragraph to show that many companies have forgotten about the very basics the early pioneers of scientific marketing had mastered more than 80 years ago.</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;">Then I shared a case study below which describes how we helped a national retailer optimize their email strategy.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>It was originally put together by Robert Schwartz who heads up the Digital Dialogue group at Ogilvy.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>Robert and his team can do miracles with email!</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;">The power of email</span></span></span></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;">The recession has been a real accelerator for the adoption of innovative email marketing.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>According to <a href="http://www.marketingsherpa.com/" target="_blank">Marketing Sherpa</a>’ “Marketing &amp; the Economy Survey” 48% of marketers plan on increasing the use of email.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>That is higher than any other channel, including search and social media.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>Cost efficiency is probably the main reason for this but it’s not the only one.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>For many marketers email is a much less daunting medium than search and social media for example.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>Most have been practicing direct marketing for years and are therefore very familiar with its principles, which can be implemented very cost effectively in email.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>Other reasons for email’s popularity are technological improvements that have opened up possibilities in dynamic, highly personalized messaging and rich media delivery.</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;">This case study describes how we helped a national retailer optimize its entire email communications channel in 12 months.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>The scale of this engagement was enormous.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>They send out approximately 2 billion per year that are generated through more than 100 automated email triggers (eg shopping cart abandonment, thank you emails, …) and over a thousand email campaigns created by the retailer’s different business units.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>On this scale, even the smallest incremental improvement has a tremendous impact on overall marketing ROI.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>We optimized the email channel through 5 workstreams : Capture, Optimization, Segmentation, Dynamic Content and Creative 2.0.</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;"><strong><em>Capture</em></strong></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;">Optimizing the email channel starts with capturing the email addresses and the additional data that can help drive relevance through personalization.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>This was a crucial.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>Because of the low margins and relatively high cost of direct mail and FSI’s our retailer needed to dramatically increase their email capture.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>There is no silver bullet when it comes to email capture.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>The key is to relentlessly capture email at every touchpoint.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>We implemented and optimized email capture mechanisms at the point of sale, in the call centers and on the homepage.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>In addition to that we worked with external vendors to append email addresses to the customers we already knew.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>As a result of this very aggressive email capture strategy we tripled email opt-in’s in 12 months.</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;"><strong><em>Optimization</em></strong></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;">This workstream consisted of both technical and creative optimization.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>We implemented standard technical assessment tools to improve overall rendering and deliverability of emails.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>We optimized the creative, content and messaging of our emails through heatmapping and testing.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>This often resulted in very simple improvements that had high impact.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>One example of this was the reactivation program which was designed to reactivate customers who hadn’t interacted with the email channel in the last 3 months.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>We optimized this program and put in place a 3 touch communications cadence where the 1<sup>st</sup> touch would offer free shipping, the 2<sup>nd</sup> free shipping and 10% off and the 3<sup>rd</sup> free shipping and 15% off.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>The reactivations doubled as a result of this and the program’s revenue grew 129%.</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;"><strong><em>Segmentation</em></strong></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;">We built a highly sophisticated targeting engine that allowed them to micro segment their customers based on life time value, general shopping behavior, drive time period specific behavior (eg holidays, back to school, fathers day, …), propensity to buy and several other segmentation layers.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>This allowed the various constituents within the organization to find their high potential targets with pinpoint accuracy and it helped them deliver the right message at the right time.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>We complemented this enterprise wide targeting engine with an email specific segmentation.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>This segmentation grouped the email audience based on their engagement with the email channel and based on browsing behavior we observed on the website.</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;"><strong><em>Dynamic content</em></strong></span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;">The segmentation enabled us to dynamically personalize the content in our emails based on the customer’s shopping and browsing behavior.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>We also dramatically shifted the focus from purely promotional messages to transactional messages that had promotional content embedded in emails that were sent out for order confirmations, warranty details and other transaction related occasions.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>Open rates for these transactional messages average 80% compared to only 27% for purely promotional messages.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>Our new dynamically targeted emails increased the likelihood by a factor of 11!<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>We also saw a 59% increase in average order value.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>These incredible results demonstrate the power of increasing relevance through personalization.</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;"><strong><em>Creative 2.0</em></strong> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;"> </span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="PADDING-LEFT: 30px; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><span style="font-size: small;">The email inbox has for a long time been the wasteland of creativity.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>New technology has changed that and has given us the ability to deliver fresh, exciting and emotionally engaging content through email.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>This can be done through consumer generated content and innovative use of video.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>In December of last year we ran a campaign that allowed consumers to send donations and support messages to the troops through an online wish registry.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>We took one of the campaign’s TV spots and edited so that it would fit into a smaller area of an email and would start playing automatically when the email was opened.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">  </span>The results were phenomenal. <span style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </span>40% of all messages left on the registry and 25% of all online donations were driven by this single email.</span></span></p>
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